Round 22 Match Preview: St Kilda vs Greater Western Sydney

By Nick Ciantar
(twitter: nick_saint13)

Round 22,

Saturday 1:45pm,

Etihad Stadium.

St Kilda:
St Kilda was outclassed against Geelong last round losing by 42 points and their finals chances are now very slim. They challenged Geelong in the third quarter, however Geelong ran away from them in the last. St Kilda has made five changes to the team this week. Sam Fisher (toe), Adam Schneider (foot), Justin Koschitzke, David Armitage (both soreness) and Jason Gram are all out. Arryn Siposs, Terry Milera, Jack Newnes, Seb Ross and Tom Ledger all come in. Ross will debut for the club.

Rhys Stanley has had an unlucky 2012 season. After playing the first eight games, he missed the next five games to a hamstring injury. He returned and then re-injured his hamstring and missed the next six games. He played against Geelong last week, however was involved in a courageous collision with Tom Lonergan and was sent to hospital for chest scans. Stanley started the year promisingly and will be looking at ending the year in the same manner.

Milestone: Jack Steven 50 games.

GWS:
GWS went down to Melbourne by 25 points last round. GWS were kept to just four goals in the first three quarters and were outplayed for the entire game. Melbourne had 52 more disposals, however GWS had 16 less tackles. Their pressure on the ball carrier was below par although Melbourne did not make them pay on the scoreboard.

Adam Treloar would be one of the most promising of the Giants’ youngsters. He’s played 16 games this year and is averaging 21.1 disposals a game. In round 18 against Collingwood, he had a season best 37 disposals and also won a nomination for the rising star award. Treloar will be one of the most dangerous on Saturday and a fine football career awaits him.

Key Players:

St Kilda:
Brendon Goddard, Lenny Hayes, Ben McEvoy, Tom Simpkin, Ahmed Saad.

GWS:
Devon Smith, Adam Treloar, Jonathon Giles, Callan Ward, Chad Cornes.

Who’s Missing:

St Kilda:
Jason Blake, Nick Riewoldt, Clint Jones, Justin Koschitzke, Jason Gram, Sam Fisher, Adam Schneider, David Armitage.

GWS:
Dean Brogan, Jeremy Cameron, Stephen Coniglio, Jon Patton, Dylan Shiel, Tom Scully, Israel Folau, Anthony Miles, Matthew Buntine,

Key Match Up:

Ben McEvoy vs. Jonathon Giles:
This will be an interesting battle. McEvoy the young St Kilda ruckmen, is learning rapidly and can now be regarded as one of the best ruckmen in the league. Whilst McEvoy was a high draft pick, Giles has had to work his way to the top. He spent four years at Port Adelaide without a game, before being delisted and is now an integral part to the Giants list. Both are in career best form and it will be an enticing match up.

Prediction:
St Kilda’s final chances are seemingly over and are set to play the kids. It is still mathematically possible for them to make the finals, however realistically it is over. St Kilda will go into the match nearly unbeatable, due to the fact that they are playing a tired Giants team. The Giants have had a tough first year, winning two games (Gold Coast and Port Adelaide) and will be looking forward to the end of the season.

St Kilda has the clear advantage in all of the statistics, except for the hit outs (ranked 16th to the Giants 14th). The Giants have lost many of their young stars to injury and their team will be tired after a tough first year. They have 6 experienced players in and this will not be enough against an experienced St Kilda. The average age of St Kilda’s team is 24.2, whilst the Giants is 21.6. A clear differential and St Kilda will be too strong all over the ground.

Saints by 70.

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One Comment on “Round 22 Match Preview: St Kilda vs Greater Western Sydney”

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